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2023年“三夏”期间农机作业服务价格和成本变化趋势调查报告

2023-05-22 16:30:05 来源:农业机械化管理司 阅读量:18527 评论

导读:近日,农业机械化管理司会同农业机械化总站针对“三夏”期间小麦机收等作业价格变化情况,开展了电子问卷调查。

  【农机网 热点关注】近日,农业机械化管理司会同农业机械化总站针对“三夏”期间小麦机收等作业价格变化情况,开展了电子问卷调查,并形成调查分析报告,现予以刊发,供有关方面参考。
 
  2023年“三夏”期间农机作业服务价格和成本变化趋势调查报告
 
  为科学研判农业机械化生产形势,农业机械化管理司会同农业机械化总站开展了2023年“三夏”期间农机作业服务价格和成本变化趋势电子问卷调查,有关情况如下。
 
  一、调查样本分布情况
 
  本次调查采取网络问卷形式,共收到8个小麦主产省600个农机社会化服务组织的调查问卷,具体样本分布情况如下表所示。

 
  二、“三夏”期间农机作业价格变化趋势
 
  从调查情况看,预计“三夏”期间农机作业价格均略有上升。
 
  (一)小麦机收作业价格
 
  预计小麦机收作业价格为65元/亩,较去年上涨了5元,同比增长8.3%。
 
  (二)机械种植作业价格
 
  预计玉米、大豆机播作业价格为50元/亩,较去年上涨了10元,同比增长25%;高性能玉米播种机作业价格为60元/亩,较普通玉米机播作业价格高出10元左右。
 
  三、“三夏”期间影响农机作业价格变化原因分析
 
  从调查情况看,“三夏”期间影响农机作业价格的主要因素为燃油成本和机手雇工费用变化,涉及样本数分别为544个和472个,占样本总数的90.7%和78.7%;其次为机具购买、维修成本变化,涉及样本数410个,占样本总数的68.3%;机具保有量、供需信息对接等因素对于作业服务价格影响不大。
 
  (一)燃油消耗情况
 
  预计“三夏”期间小麦机收燃油消耗为3 L/亩,玉米、大豆机播燃油消耗为3 L/亩;水稻机插秧耗油为2 L/亩。
 
  (二)燃油价格情况
 
  预计“三夏”期间柴油价格为7.4元/升,较去年同期下降7.5%。以本次调查样本数最多的湖北省为例,2023年5月13日湖北省0#柴油价格为7.4元/升,较2022年同期下降9.1%,但较2021年同期仍要高出17.6%。
 
  (三)机手雇工费用情况
 
  预计机手雇工费用增长的样本数占样本总数的83.7%。疫情结束后,劳动力流动加大,机手可选择的务工方式更多,机手数量不足,操作较为熟练的机手供不应求;此外,随着物价上涨和生活成本提高,机手涨薪意愿强烈,留住机手的成本也逐年增加。调查显示,缺乏机械化作业水平较高的机手和人工成本连续增长是影响机手雇工费用增长的主要原因,涉及样本数分别为443个和507个,占样本总数的73.8%和84.5%。
 
  (四)零配件供给情况
 
  预计农业机械零配件购买价格增长的样本数占样本总数的77.5%。零配件原材料价格与物流成本增长是导致农业机械零配件购买价格增长的主要原因,涉及样本分别为423个和268个,占样本总数的70.5%与44.7%。
 
  四、跨区作业情况
 
  从调查情况看,259个样本明确表示准备开展跨区作业,占样本总数的43.2%;215个样本明确表示不开展跨区作业,占样本总数的35.8%;126个样本表示不确定是否参与跨区作业。
 
  五、面临问题与建议
 
  从调查情况看,“三夏”期间面临的主要问题是天气变化,涉及206个样本,占调查样本总数的34.3%;其次是燃油价格较高,涉及175个样本,占调查样本总数的29.2%。缺少有能力的机手(驾驶员)等问题,均未超过样本总数的20%;反映零配件供给不足问题的样本仅有2个。
 
  各地农机社会化服务组织的主要建议:65个样本建议“加大燃油补贴或降低燃油价格”;46个样本建议“加强机手培训力度”;37个样本建议“加大农机作业补贴力度或提高作业价格”;27个样本建议“提供作业信息共享平台或做好信息对接服务”;26个样本建议“加强安全监管、培训力度,引导安全作业生产”。
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